Shannon Gugerty vs Terry Etim

November 13, 2009

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1025
(-27)
Shannon Gugerty
Winner: Terry Etim
Submission
Round 2 • 1:24

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Shannon Gugerty-27
Terry Etim+32
1109
(+32)
Terry Etim

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -28Terry Etim: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Total UFC Fights47
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9931 091
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Terry Etim for the expected result. Had Shannon Gugerty pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -20Terry Etim: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 063
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -32Terry Etim: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:241:24
Win Type ELO1 0581 221
ELO Change-32+50
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:24, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Shannon Gugerty was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -20Terry Etim: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Significant Strikes Landed1117
Significant Strikes Attempted4157
Total Strikes Landed1717
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0141 147
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 17 vs 11 significant strikes. Terry Etim capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -61Terry Etim: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:510:38
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 1091 057
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim edged out Shannon Gugerty on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -16Terry Etim: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Days Since Last Fight127155
Activity ELO1 0161 146
ELO Change-16+28
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Terry Etim capitalized on this activity level, while Shannon Gugerty's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -19Terry Etim: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0081 084
ELO Change-19+27
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What Happened

Terry Etim extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shannon Gugerty is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -20Terry Etim: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertyTerry Etim
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 063
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.