November 13, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Terry Etim's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Terry Etim for the expected result. Had Shannon Gugerty pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:24 | 1:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +50 |
Terry Etim earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:24, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Shannon Gugerty was submitted.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Terry Etim slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 17 vs 11 significant strikes. Terry Etim capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 109 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Terry Etim edged out Shannon Gugerty on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Terry Etim demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Terry Etim capitalized on this activity level, while Shannon Gugerty's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +27 |
Terry Etim extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shannon Gugerty is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Shannon Gugerty | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

