December 15, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 397 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -24 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stephen Thompson.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 143 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:56 | 4:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 533 | 1 455 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -47 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:56, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Stephen Thompson was submitted.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 388 | 1 378 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 26 total strikes, 28 vs 16 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 64.0% accuracy. Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:45 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 561 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov dominated Stephen Thompson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 7:45 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this activity level, while Stephen Thompson's 378-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 238 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -23 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Stephen Thompson's now at 0.
| Metric | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 143 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.