April 7, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:36 | 0:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +84 |
Steve Garcia gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Steve Garcia controlled the striking exchanges with 42.5% vs 51.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Steve Garcia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:34 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 089 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Steve Garcia landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +41 |
Steve Garcia demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Steve Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Shayilan Nuerdanbieke's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Steve Garcia extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

