November 6, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Soa Palelei's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Soa Palelei for the expected result. Had Walt Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:49 | 4:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 200 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
Soa Palelei gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 126 | 777 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Soa Palelei edged the striking exchanges with 47.1% vs 30.6% accuracy. Soa Palelei capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 115 | 847 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Soa Palelei controlled Walt Harris on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:34 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 286 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -15 |
Soa Palelei demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Soa Palelei capitalized on this activity level, while Walt Harris's 286-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Soa Palelei started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Walt Harris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Soa Palelei | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.