February 15, 2013
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +43 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:42 | 4:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +120 |
Tom Watson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 012 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Tom Watson controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 39 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Watson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:40 | 4:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Tom Watson landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +47 |
Tom Watson demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Watson capitalized on this activity level, while Stanislav Nedkov's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Tom Watson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stanislav Nedkov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Stanislav Nedkov | Tom Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.