Stefan Struve vs Stipe Miocic

September 28, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1203
(+31)
Stefan Struve
Winner: Stefan Struve
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Stefan Struve+31
Stipe Miocic-25
1097
(-25)
Stipe Miocic

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +30Stipe Miocic: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Total UFC Fights124
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 1741 101
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stefan Struve for the expected result. Had Stipe Miocic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +19Stipe Miocic: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1151 042
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +55Stipe Miocic: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:503:50
Win Type ELO1 3981 185
ELO Change+55-27
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +56Stipe Miocic: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Significant Strikes Landed5748
Significant Strikes Attempted12895
Total Strikes Landed5748
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2271 106
ELO Change+56-56
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve edged the striking exchanges with 57 vs 48 significant strikes. Stefan Struve capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +22Stipe Miocic: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:000:03
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 1741 146
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +26Stipe Miocic: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Days Since Last Fight126126
Activity ELO1 2781 096
ELO Change+26-13
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Stipe Miocic's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +25Stipe Miocic: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1451 055
ELO Change+25-18
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stipe Miocic is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Stefan Struve: +19Stipe Miocic: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricStefan StruveStipe Miocic
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1151 042
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.