October 23, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +62 |
Tai Tuivasa overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stefan Struve.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +127 |
Tai Tuivasa earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Tai Tuivasa controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 13 total strikes, 27 vs 13 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 869 | 853 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Tai Tuivasa landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 140 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +23 |
Tai Tuivasa demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Struve's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Tai Tuivasa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Struve is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Stefan Struve | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.