March 3, 2017
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 265 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 134 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +58 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Tyron Woodley captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 538 | 1 582 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Tyron Woodley earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 146 | 125 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 545 | 1 672 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Tyron Woodley controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyron Woodley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 1:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 282 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Tyron Woodley controlled Stephen Thompson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:57 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 240 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +51 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Stephen Thompson's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 236 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +30 |
Tyron Woodley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stephen Thompson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Stephen Thompson | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 124 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.