Stephen Thompson vs Vicente Luque

November 1, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1278
(+42)
Stephen Thompson
Winner: Stephen Thompson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Stephen Thompson+42
Vicente Luque-40
1249
(-40)
Vicente Luque

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +32Vicente Luque: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Total UFC Fights1513
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 2591 201
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson's 2-fight experience advantage (15 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stephen Thompson for the expected result. Had Vicente Luque pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +23Vicente Luque: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1301 124
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +43Vicente Luque: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4961 421
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +81Vicente Luque: -81

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Significant Strikes Landed13877
Significant Strikes Attempted242175
Total Strikes Landed13877
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 4481 352
ELO Change+81-81
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson dominated the striking exchanges with 138 vs 77 total strikes, 138 vs 77 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 44.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stephen Thompson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +72Vicente Luque: -72

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:110:01
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO1 2801 271
ELO Change+72-72
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +33Vicente Luque: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Days Since Last Fight22485
Activity ELO1 2691 306
ELO Change+33-27
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stephen Thompson capitalized on this activity level, while Vicente Luque's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +24Vicente Luque: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2221 190
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vicente Luque is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Stephen Thompson: +24Vicente Luque: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricStephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1191 123
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.