Steve Bosse vs Thiago Santos

June 26, 2015

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-28)
Steve Bosse
Winner: Thiago Santos
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:29

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Steve Bosse-28
Thiago Santos+37
1090
(+37)
Thiago Santos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -30Thiago Santos: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9701 047
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thiago Santos for the expected result. Had Steve Bosse pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -21Thiago Santos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 024
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -27Thiago Santos: +78

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:290:29
Win Type ELO9731 208
ELO Change-27+78
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:29 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -64Thiago Santos: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Significant Strikes Landed03
Significant Strikes Attempted14
Total Strikes Landed03
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9361 262
ELO Change-64+64
💡

What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -18Thiago Santos: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:01
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9821 066
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -20Thiago Santos: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Days Since Last FightN/A147
Activity ELO9801 056
ELO Change-20+40
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Bosse's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -21Thiago Santos: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9791 033
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Bosse is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Bosse: -21Thiago Santos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve BosseThiago Santos
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 024
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.