March 9, 2000
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 907 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:23 | 3:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +78 |
Tedd Williams earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 805 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Steve Judson controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (14 vs 9). However, since Steve Judson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tedd Williams's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 949 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Tedd Williams did not secure a significant ground advantage against Steve Judson on the ground with 0:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Tedd Williams demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tedd Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Judson's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Tedd Williams started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Judson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Steve Judson | Tedd Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

