September 24, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 954 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Waylon Lowe receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 897 | 956 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Waylon Lowe slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 42.6% vs 32.4% accuracy. Waylon Lowe capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 890 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Waylon Lowe dominated Steve Lopez on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:52 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 371 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 967 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Waylon Lowe demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Waylon Lowe capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Lopez's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Waylon Lowe started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Steve Lopez | Waylon Lowe |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

