Steve Lopez vs Waylon Lowe

September 24, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

944
(-29)
Steve Lopez
Winner: Waylon Lowe
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Steve Lopez-29
Waylon Lowe+34
1007
(+34)
Waylon Lowe

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -21Waylon Lowe: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9541 007
ELO Change-21+32
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -21Waylon Lowe: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9611 002
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -10Waylon Lowe: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO963985
ELO Change-10+10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Waylon Lowe receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -23Waylon Lowe: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Significant Strikes Landed2326
Significant Strikes Attempted7161
Total Strikes Landed6874
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO897956
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Waylon Lowe slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 42.6% vs 32.4% accuracy. Waylon Lowe capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -91Waylon Lowe: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time0:006:52
Ground Strikes Landed210
Ground ELO8901 063
ELO Change-91+91
💡

What Happened

Waylon Lowe dominated Steve Lopez on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:52 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -21Waylon Lowe: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Days Since Last Fight371119
Activity ELO9671 039
ELO Change-21+53
💡

What Happened

Waylon Lowe demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Waylon Lowe capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Lopez's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -21Waylon Lowe: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 005
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Waylon Lowe started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Steve Lopez: -21Waylon Lowe: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSteve LopezWaylon Lowe
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9611 002
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.