Steven Asplund vs Vitor Petrino

March 14, 2026

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1020
(-18)
Steven Asplund
Winner: Vitor Petrino
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Steven Asplund-18
Vitor Petrino+20
1174
(+20)
Vitor Petrino

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -24Vitor Petrino: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Total UFC Fights29
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 0351 162
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Vitor Petrino's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vitor Petrino for the expected result. Had Steven Asplund pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -18Vitor Petrino: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 086
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -22Vitor Petrino: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0551 279
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Vitor Petrino earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -21Vitor Petrino: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Significant Strikes Landed6192
Significant Strikes Attempted158161
Total Strikes Landed7392
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 0421 186
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino controlled the striking exchanges with 92 vs 61 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 38.6% accuracy. Vitor Petrino capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -10Vitor Petrino: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:121:17
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 0091 264
ELO Change-10+10
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino did not secure a significant ground advantage against Steven Asplund on the ground with 1:17 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -12Vitor Petrino: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Days Since Last Fight91154
Activity ELO1 0081 209
ELO Change-12+20
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Petrino capitalized on this activity level, while Steven Asplund's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -17Vitor Petrino: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0051 116
ELO Change-17+22
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What Happened

Vitor Petrino extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steven Asplund is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Steven Asplund: -18Vitor Petrino: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricSteven AsplundVitor Petrino
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 086
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.