December 8, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 996 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tim Elliott's 14-fight experience advantage (20 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Elliott for the expected result. Had Sumudaerji pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +71 |
Tim Elliott earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 098 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tim Elliott edged the striking exchanges. Tim Elliott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 875 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Tim Elliott controlled Sumudaerji on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 512 | 50 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +97 |
Tim Elliott demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 50 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tim Elliott capitalized on this activity level, while Sumudaerji's 512-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Tim Elliott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sumudaerji is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 993 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.