January 19, 2021
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Sumudaerji's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sumudaerji for the expected result. Had Zarrukh Adashev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 132 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Sumudaerji earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 123 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 166 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Sumudaerji controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 28 total strikes, 50 vs 28 significant strikes, 39.4% vs 22.8% accuracy. Sumudaerji capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 990 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 53 | 222 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -18 |
Sumudaerji demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 53 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sumudaerji capitalized on this activity level, while Zarrukh Adashev's 222-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Sumudaerji extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zarrukh Adashev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sumudaerji | Zarrukh Adashev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

