February 14, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
TJ Dillashaw earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 154 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +130 | -130 |
TJ Dillashaw dominated the striking exchanges with 154 vs 19 total strikes, 85 vs 11 significant strikes, 74.6% vs 33.3% accuracy. TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:22 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 76 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
TJ Dillashaw dominated Walel Watson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 12:22 of control time, 76 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 74 | 67 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -22 |
TJ Dillashaw demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 74 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this activity level, while Walel Watson's 67-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
TJ Dillashaw started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Walel Watson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | TJ Dillashaw | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.