May 10, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -31 |
Tabatha Ricci overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tecia Pennington.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tabatha Ricci receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 219 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Tecia Pennington controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (80 vs 54). However, since Tecia Pennington lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tabatha Ricci's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:15 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 355 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Tabatha Ricci edged out Tecia Pennington on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:15 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 763 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Tabatha Ricci demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tabatha Ricci capitalized on this activity level, while Tecia Pennington's 763-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Tabatha Ricci started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tecia Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

