November 23, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Yan Xiaonan's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yan Xiaonan for the expected result. Had Tabatha Ricci pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Yan Xiaonan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 161 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Yan Xiaonan dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 17 total strikes, 78 vs 15 significant strikes, 48.4% vs 14.6% accuracy. Yan Xiaonan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 359 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 185 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Yan Xiaonan demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yan Xiaonan capitalized on this activity level, while Tabatha Ricci's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +20 |
Yan Xiaonan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tabatha Ricci is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tabatha Ricci | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

