Tabatha Ricci vs Yan Xiaonan

November 23, 2024

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1143
(-28)
Tabatha Ricci
Winner: Yan Xiaonan
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Tabatha Ricci-28
Yan Xiaonan+29
1204
(+29)
Yan Xiaonan

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -29Yan Xiaonan: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Total UFC Fights912
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 1711 252
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Yan Xiaonan's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yan Xiaonan for the expected result. Had Tabatha Ricci pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -20Yan Xiaonan: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0641 126
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -34Yan Xiaonan: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1761 315
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Yan Xiaonan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -44Yan Xiaonan: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Significant Strikes Landed1578
Significant Strikes Attempted103161
Total Strikes Landed1789
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0351 244
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

Yan Xiaonan dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 17 total strikes, 78 vs 15 significant strikes, 48.4% vs 14.6% accuracy. Yan Xiaonan capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -32Yan Xiaonan: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:160:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3591 211
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -23Yan Xiaonan: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Days Since Last Fight92225
Activity ELO1 1851 199
ELO Change-23+29
💡

What Happened

Yan Xiaonan demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yan Xiaonan capitalized on this activity level, while Tabatha Ricci's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -19Yan Xiaonan: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0931 172
ELO Change-19+20
💡

What Happened

Yan Xiaonan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tabatha Ricci is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Tabatha Ricci: -20Yan Xiaonan: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricTabatha RicciYan Xiaonan
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0631 112
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.