March 4, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Tim Elliott's 14-fight experience advantage (17 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Elliott for the expected result. Had Tagir Ulanbekov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Tim Elliott earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 186 | 179 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 117 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Tagir Ulanbekov controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (90 vs 79). However, since Tagir Ulanbekov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tim Elliott's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:55 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Tim Elliott edged out Tagir Ulanbekov on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 0:52 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +36 |
Tim Elliott demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Elliott capitalized on this activity level, while Tagir Ulanbekov's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Tim Elliott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tagir Ulanbekov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.