June 10, 2022
UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 123 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Valentina Shevchenko's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Valentina Shevchenko for the expected result. Had Taila Santos pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 377 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +20 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Valentina Shevchenko captured the UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 190 | 1 487 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +3 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Valentina Shevchenko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 128 | 234 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 210 | 1 448 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Valentina Shevchenko dominated the striking exchanges with 234 vs 128 total strikes, 77 vs 55 significant strikes. Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:49 | 4:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 265 | 1 558 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Valentina Shevchenko edged out Taila Santos on the ground with 3 takedowns, 4:15 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 175 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Taila Santos's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 9 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +37 |
Valentina Shevchenko continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Taila Santos's now at 0.
| Metric | Taila Santos | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.