May 19, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +49 |
Themba Gorimbo overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Takashi Sato.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 948 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 018 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Themba Gorimbo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 874 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Themba Gorimbo dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 56 total strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 11:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 821 | 923 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Themba Gorimbo landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +54 |
Themba Gorimbo demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this activity level, while Takashi Sato's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Themba Gorimbo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takashi Sato is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Takashi Sato | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 948 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.