February 8, 2025
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 225 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Zhang Weili's 4-fight experience advantage (12 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Zhang Weili for the expected result. Had Tatiana Suarez pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 132 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +30 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Zhang Weili captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 344 | 1 499 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Zhang Weili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 232 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 259 | 1 523 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Zhang Weili dominated the striking exchanges with 232 vs 63 total strikes, 53 vs 12 significant strikes, 60.9% vs 33.3% accuracy. Zhang Weili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:56 | 10:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 414 | 1 589 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Zhang Weili controlled Tatiana Suarez on the ground with 1 takedown, 10:54 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 554 | 302 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Zhang Weili demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Zhang Weili capitalized on this activity level, while Tatiana Suarez's 554-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 210 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +40 |
Zhang Weili continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tatiana Suarez's now at 0.
| Metric | Tatiana Suarez | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 118 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.