March 1, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +43 |
Zhang Weili overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tecia Pennington.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Zhang Weili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 142 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Zhang Weili dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 33 total strikes, 63 vs 30 significant strikes. Zhang Weili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:08 | 4:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 085 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Zhang Weili controlled Tecia Pennington on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:40 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +57 |
Zhang Weili demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zhang Weili capitalized on this activity level, while Tecia Pennington's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Zhang Weili extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tecia Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tecia Pennington | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.