Teemu Packalen vs Thibault Gouti

February 26, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1032
(+62)
Teemu Packalen
Winner: Teemu Packalen
Submission
Round 1 • 0:24

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Teemu Packalen+62
Thibault Gouti-52
948
(-52)
Thibault Gouti

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +35Thibault Gouti: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 001965
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +22Thibault Gouti: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 000978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +114Thibault Gouti: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:240:24
Win Type ELO1 068952
ELO Change+114-48
💡

What Happened

Teemu Packalen locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:24 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +132Thibault Gouti: -132

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Significant Strikes Landed60
Significant Strikes Attempted111
Total Strikes Landed60
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 099868
ELO Change+132-132
💡

What Happened

Teemu Packalen controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Teemu Packalen capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +117Thibault Gouti: -117

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:100:00
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 080883
ELO Change+117-117
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +28Thibault Gouti: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Days Since Last Fight225N/A
Activity ELO1 006978
ELO Change+28-22
💡

What Happened

Teemu Packalen demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Teemu Packalen capitalized on this activity level, while Thibault Gouti's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +25Thibault Gouti: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 003978
ELO Change+25-22
💡

What Happened

Teemu Packalen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thibault Gouti is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Teemu Packalen: +22Thibault Gouti: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricTeemu PackalenThibault Gouti
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 000978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.