June 28, 2025
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Terrance McKinney's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Terrance McKinney for the expected result. Had Viacheslav Borshchev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:55 | 0:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 278 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -20 |
Terrance McKinney locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:55 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 799 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Terrance McKinney dominated Viacheslav Borshchev on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:47 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -13 |
Terrance McKinney demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Terrance McKinney capitalized on this activity level, while Viacheslav Borshchev's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 068 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -18 |
Terrance McKinney extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Viacheslav Borshchev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Terrance McKinney | Viacheslav Borshchev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

