January 30, 2015
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 223 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Thales Leites overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Boetsch.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 142 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 414 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -29 |
Thales Leites earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:45, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Boetsch was submitted.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 350 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Tim Boetsch controlled the striking through superior volume (47 vs 23 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (26 vs 20), 1 knockdown. However, since Tim Boetsch lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Thales Leites's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:01 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 385 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Thales Leites controlled Tim Boetsch on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:01 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 298 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Thales Leites demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thales Leites capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Boetsch's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 201 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -17 |
Thales Leites continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tim Boetsch's now at 0.
| Metric | Thales Leites | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 135 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.