Thales Leites vs Tom Watson

August 2, 2013

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1143
(+26)
Thales Leites
Winner: Thales Leites
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Thales Leites+26
Tom Watson-26
1007
(-26)
Tom Watson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +26Tom Watson: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Total UFC Fights93
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 099990
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Thales Leites's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thales Leites for the expected result. Had Tom Watson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +18Tom Watson: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 068986
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +32Tom Watson: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2271 081
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Thales Leites earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +35Tom Watson: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Significant Strikes Landed5133
Significant Strikes Attempted9167
Total Strikes Landed9836
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1981 076
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Thales Leites dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 36 total strikes, 51 vs 33 significant strikes. Thales Leites capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +47Tom Watson: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time10:031:14
Ground Strikes Landed190
Ground ELO1 240935
ELO Change+47-47
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What Happened

Thales Leites dominated Tom Watson on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:03 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +13Tom Watson: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Days Since Last Fight1 456168
Activity ELO1 1541 015
ELO Change+13-14
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites demonstrated extended layoff with 1456 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Thales Leites capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Watson's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +19Tom Watson: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 097991
ELO Change+19-17
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Watson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +19Tom Watson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTom Watson
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060985
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.