Thales Leites vs Trevor Smith

April 10, 2014

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1209
(+24)
Thales Leites
Winner: Thales Leites
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Thales Leites+24
Trevor Smith-19
995
(-19)
Trevor Smith

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +20Trevor Smith: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Total UFC Fights113
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 162988
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thales Leites for the expected result. Had Trevor Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +16Trevor Smith: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 105987
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +38Trevor Smith: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:450:45
Win Type ELO1 318993
ELO Change+38-14
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:45 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +50Trevor Smith: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Significant Strikes Landed53
Significant Strikes Attempted810
Total Strikes Landed93
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 275971
ELO Change+50-50
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites controlled the striking exchanges with 62.5% vs 30.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thales Leites capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +17Trevor Smith: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:040:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 3431 025
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +21Trevor Smith: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Days Since Last Fight14686
Activity ELO1 2311 013
ELO Change+21-11
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites demonstrated solid activity levels with 146 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thales Leites capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Smith's 86-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +19Trevor Smith: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 141993
ELO Change+19-14
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Smith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Thales Leites: +16Trevor Smith: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricThales LeitesTrevor Smith
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 098987
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.