Themba Gorimbo vs Vicente Luque

December 7, 2024

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1133
(-19)
Themba Gorimbo
Winner: Vicente Luque
Submission
Round 1 • 0:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Themba Gorimbo-19
Vicente Luque+21
1290
(+21)
Vicente Luque

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -20Vicente Luque: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Total UFC Fights622
Experience Gap-1616
Experience ELO1 1201 297
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque's 16-fight experience advantage (22 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vicente Luque for the expected result. Had Themba Gorimbo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -16Vicente Luque: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0441 166
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -18Vicente Luque: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:520:52
Win Type ELO1 2081 494
ELO Change-18+38
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What Happened

Vicente Luque locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:52 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -23Vicente Luque: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Significant Strikes Landed52
Significant Strikes Attempted96
Total Strikes Landed52
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2371 244
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Themba Gorimbo controlled the striking through superior accuracy (55.6% vs 33.3%). However, since Themba Gorimbo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vicente Luque's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -30Vicente Luque: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:14
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1891 361
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -11Vicente Luque: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Days Since Last Fight56253
Activity ELO1 1561 367
ELO Change-11+13
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Themba Gorimbo's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -13Vicente Luque: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0681 233
ELO Change-13+14
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What Happened

Vicente Luque started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Themba Gorimbo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Themba Gorimbo: -16Vicente Luque: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricThemba GorimboVicente Luque
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0441 157
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.