December 29, 2006
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:10 | 1:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -41 |
Thiago Alves gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 228 | 824 |
| ELO Change | +205 | -205 |
Thiago Alves dominated the striking exchanges with 41 vs 2 total strikes, 26 vs 1 significant strikes, 53.1% vs 10.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Thiago Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:44 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Thiago Alves controlled Tony DeSouza on the ground with 1:44 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 82 | 82 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -19 |
Thiago Alves demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 82 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Thiago Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Tony DeSouza's 82-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Thiago Alves extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tony DeSouza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Thiago Alves | Tony DeSouza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.