September 7, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 099 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:23 | 4:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 183 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -27 |
Thiago Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 131 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Thiago Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 43 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 33.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 1:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Thiago Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tomasz Drwal on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:25 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Thiago Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Tomasz Drwal's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Thiago Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tomasz Drwal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Thiago Silva | Tomasz Drwal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

