September 21, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Tyson Griffin earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Tyson Griffin dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 32 total strikes, 29 vs 6 significant strikes, 43.9% vs 28.6% accuracy. Tyson Griffin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:56 | 7:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Tyson Griffin controlled Thiago Tavares on the ground with 2 takedowns, 7:55 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 102 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +58 |
Tyson Griffin demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyson Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Tavares's 102-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Tyson Griffin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Thiago Tavares | Tyson Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.