October 11, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Vitor Petrino's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vitor Petrino for the expected result. Had Thomas Petersen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:26 | 0:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +45 |
Vitor Petrino gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -132 | +132 |
Vitor Petrino dominated the striking exchanges with 31 vs 16 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 45.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Vitor Petrino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 3:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Vitor Petrino landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +40 |
Vitor Petrino demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Petrino capitalized on this activity level, while Thomas Petersen's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 994 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Vitor Petrino extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thomas Petersen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Thomas Petersen | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

