Thomas Petersen vs Vitor Petrino

October 11, 2025

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1005
(-37)
Thomas Petersen
Winner: Vitor Petrino
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:26

C-ELO Evolution

Thomas Petersen-37
Vitor Petrino+43
1154
(+43)
Vitor Petrino

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -25Vitor Petrino: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Total UFC Fights58
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0211 138
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vitor Petrino for the expected result. Had Thomas Petersen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -18Vitor Petrino: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9851 068
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -23Vitor Petrino: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:260:26
Win Type ELO1 0151 257
ELO Change-23+45
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -132Vitor Petrino: +132

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Significant Strikes Landed1631
Significant Strikes Attempted3554
Total Strikes Landed4133
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9231 165
ELO Change-132+132
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino dominated the striking exchanges with 31 vs 16 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 45.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Vitor Petrino capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -45Vitor Petrino: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted86
Ground Control Time2:063:03
Ground Strikes Landed09
Ground ELO1 0711 254
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -16Vitor Petrino: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Days Since Last Fight16191
Activity ELO1 0471 189
ELO Change-16+40
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Petrino capitalized on this activity level, while Thomas Petersen's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -17Vitor Petrino: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9941 094
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Vitor Petrino extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thomas Petersen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Thomas Petersen: -18Vitor Petrino: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricThomas PetersenVitor Petrino
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9851 068
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.