August 6, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Tim Boetsch's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Boetsch for the expected result. Had Todd Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 120 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Tim Boetsch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 110 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Tim Boetsch dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 42 total strikes, 60 vs 28 significant strikes, 53.6% vs 38.9% accuracy. Tim Boetsch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:44 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 048 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Tim Boetsch controlled Todd Brown on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:44 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 518 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Tim Boetsch demonstrated extended layoff with 518 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while Todd Brown's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Tim Boetsch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Todd Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tim Boetsch | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

