June 2, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Tim Elliott's 14-fight experience advantage (18 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Elliott for the expected result. Had Victor Altamirano pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Tim Elliott earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 153 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Tim Elliott dominated the striking exchanges with 153 vs 102 total strikes, 28 vs 19 significant strikes. Tim Elliott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:13 | 1:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 212 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Tim Elliott dominated Victor Altamirano on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 11:13 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 455 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 136 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -16 |
Tim Elliott demonstrated extended layoff with 455 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tim Elliott capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Altamirano's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Tim Elliott extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Altamirano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.