August 28, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:07 | 0:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +196 |
Todd Duffee achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:07 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 871 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -155 | +155 |
Todd Duffee controlled the striking exchanges with 80.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Todd Duffee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 998 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Todd Duffee demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Todd Duffee capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Hague's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Todd Duffee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Hague is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tim Hague | Todd Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.