Tim Kennedy vs Yoel Romero

September 26, 2014

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1116
(-40)
Tim Kennedy
Winner: Yoel Romero
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:58

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Tim Kennedy-40
Yoel Romero+47
1236
(+47)
Yoel Romero

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -30Yoel Romero: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Total UFC Fights45
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 1341 216
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -20Yoel Romero: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0511 109
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -33Yoel Romero: +66

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:580:58
Win Type ELO1 1921 367
ELO Change-33+66
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What Happened

Yoel Romero gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -97Yoel Romero: +97

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Significant Strikes Landed3039
Significant Strikes Attempted8680
Total Strikes Landed3251
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO1 1261 399
ELO Change-97+97
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What Happened

Yoel Romero dominated the striking exchanges with 39 vs 30 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 34.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Yoel Romero capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -81Yoel Romero: +81

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted64
Ground Control Time0:012:06
Ground Strikes Landed09
Ground ELO1 1921 332
ELO Change-81+81
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What Happened

Yoel Romero landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -19Yoel Romero: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Days Since Last Fight164161
Activity ELO1 1161 208
ELO Change-19+32
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What Happened

Yoel Romero demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yoel Romero capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Kennedy's 164-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -19Yoel Romero: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 0691 151
ELO Change-19+37
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What Happened

Yoel Romero continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tim Kennedy's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Tim Kennedy: -20Yoel Romero: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricTim KennedyYoel Romero
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0511 109
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.