September 26, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 051 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:58 | 0:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +66 |
Yoel Romero gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 126 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Yoel Romero dominated the striking exchanges with 39 vs 30 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 34.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Yoel Romero capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 2:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 192 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Yoel Romero landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 164 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +32 |
Yoel Romero demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yoel Romero capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Kennedy's 164-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +37 |
Yoel Romero continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tim Kennedy's now at 0.
| Metric | Tim Kennedy | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

