April 26, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 29 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 23 | -23 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +82 |
Uros Medic overcame a 23-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 29 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +120 |
Uros Medic earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 131 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Uros Medic controlled the striking exchanges with 58.3% vs 41.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Uros Medic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 894 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Uros Medic landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 209 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +57 |
Uros Medic demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Uros Medic capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Uros Medic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tim Means | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.