February 4, 2005
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 200 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Tito Ortiz's 4-fight experience advantage (15 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tito Ortiz for the expected result. Had Vitor Belfort pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 265 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 392 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tito Ortiz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 101 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 327 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Tito Ortiz dominated the striking exchanges with 101 vs 44 total strikes, 27 vs 19 significant strikes. Tito Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:23 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 346 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Tito Ortiz controlled Vitor Belfort on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:23 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 107 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 335 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -23 |
Tito Ortiz demonstrated solid activity levels with 107 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tito Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Belfort's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 196 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
Tito Ortiz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Belfort is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 134 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.