December 15, 2000
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Tito Ortiz's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tito Ortiz for the expected result. Had Yuki Kondo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 146 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -16 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Tito Ortiz captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 277 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -25 |
Tito Ortiz earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 320 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Tito Ortiz edged the striking exchanges with 31 vs 2 total strikes, 16 vs 2 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Tito Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:35 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 315 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Tito Ortiz dominated Yuki Kondo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:35 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 247 | 86 |
| Activity ELO | 1 205 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Tito Ortiz demonstrated standard activity with 247 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tito Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Yuki Kondo's 86-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Tito Ortiz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yuki Kondo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tito Ortiz | Yuki Kondo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 071 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.