Tom Nolan vs Victor Martinez

May 17, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1002
(+44)
Tom Nolan
Winner: Tom Nolan
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Tom Nolan+44
Victor Martinez-33
933
(-33)
Victor Martinez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +32Victor Martinez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO999954
ELO Change+32-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +21Victor Martinez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO999959
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +93Victor Martinez: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:503:50
Win Type ELO1 055929
ELO Change+93-43
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What Happened

Tom Nolan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +76Victor Martinez: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Significant Strikes Landed3318
Significant Strikes Attempted6426
Total Strikes Landed4120
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO959836
ELO Change+76-76
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What Happened

Tom Nolan controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 20 total strikes, 33 vs 18 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 69.2% accuracy. Tom Nolan capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +41Victor Martinez: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:020:48
Ground Strikes Landed41
Ground ELO982908
ELO Change+41-41
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What Happened

Tom Nolan edged out Victor Martinez on the ground with 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +42Victor Martinez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Days Since Last Fight126448
Activity ELO1 021961
ELO Change+42-21
💡

What Happened

Tom Nolan demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Nolan capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Martinez's 448-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +23Victor Martinez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 001960
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Tom Nolan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Martinez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Tom Nolan: +21Victor Martinez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricTom NolanVictor Martinez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO999959
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.