December 2, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -30 |
Tony Ferguson overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Yves Edwards.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 165 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Tony Ferguson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 232 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 167 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Tony Ferguson controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 45 significant strikes. Tony Ferguson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 121 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 64 |
| Activity ELO | 1 157 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -28 |
Tony Ferguson demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tony Ferguson capitalized on this activity level, while Yves Edwards's 64-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -25 |
Tony Ferguson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yves Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tony Ferguson | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.