March 10, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +38 |
Victor Henry overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tony Gravely.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Victor Henry receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 75 | 154 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 154 | 244 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 190 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 051 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Victor Henry dominated the striking exchanges with 190 vs 90 total strikes, 154 vs 75 significant strikes, 63.1% vs 48.7% accuracy. Victor Henry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 17 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:22 | 1:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Victor Henry did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tony Gravely on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:20 of control time, 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +49 |
Victor Henry demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Victor Henry capitalized on this activity level, while Tony Gravely's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Victor Henry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tony Gravely is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tony Gravely | Victor Henry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

