July 18, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Trevor Smith earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Trevor Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 89 vs 42 total strikes, 42 vs 26 significant strikes, 71.2% vs 57.8% accuracy. Trevor Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:25 | 7:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Trevor Smith controlled Tor Troeng on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 7:11 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 318 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +51 |
Trevor Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Trevor Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Tor Troeng's 318-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Trevor Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tor Troeng is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tor Troeng | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.