September 6, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +34 |
Yanal Ashmouz overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Trevor Peek.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Yanal Ashmouz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Trevor Peek controlled the striking through superior volume (63 vs 85 total strikes), significant strike advantage (55 vs 42), superior accuracy (51.4% vs 63.6%). However, since Trevor Peek lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yanal Ashmouz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 8:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 886 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Yanal Ashmouz dominated Trevor Peek on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 8:16 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 413 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +20 |
Yanal Ashmouz demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Yanal Ashmouz capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Peek's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Yanal Ashmouz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Peek is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Trevor Peek | Yanal Ashmouz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.