March 26, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 292 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (16 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 221 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:56 | 3:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 443 | 1 563 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +67 |
Vicente Luque earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 424 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Vicente Luque edged the striking exchanges with 41 vs 21 total strikes, 25 vs 18 significant strikes, 75.8% vs 45.0% accuracy. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 2:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 280 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Vicente Luque edged out Tyron Woodley on the ground with 2:03 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 307 | 1 382 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Tyron Woodley's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 176 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Vicente Luque extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tyron Woodley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.