March 24, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Victor Altamirano's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Victor Altamirano for the expected result. Had Vinicius Salvador pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Victor Altamirano earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 118 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Victor Altamirano controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 83 total strikes, 62 vs 47 significant strikes, 52.5% vs 36.2% accuracy. Victor Altamirano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 22 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:04 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 040 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Victor Altamirano edged out Vinicius Salvador on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5:04 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Victor Altamirano demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Victor Altamirano capitalized on this activity level, while Vinicius Salvador's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Victor Altamirano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vinicius Salvador is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Victor Altamirano | Vinicius Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.