August 25, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 957 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:23 | 3:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 917 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +68 |
Wilson Gouveia earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 920 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Wilson Gouveia slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 45.0% vs 58.8% accuracy. Wilson Gouveia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 763 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Wilson Gouveia dominated Wes Combs on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +62 |
Wilson Gouveia demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Wilson Gouveia capitalized on this activity level, while Wes Combs's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Wilson Gouveia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wes Combs is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Wes Combs | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

