May 7, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:30 | 3:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 982 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +69 |
Yuta Sasaki earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:30, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Willie Gates was submitted.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 915 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Willie Gates controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (13 vs 7), superior accuracy (40.6% vs 30.4%). However, since Willie Gates lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yuta Sasaki's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:02 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 756 | 941 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Yuta Sasaki dominated Willie Gates on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 0:45 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | 323 |
| Activity ELO | 973 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Yuta Sasaki demonstrated standard activity with 323 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Yuta Sasaki capitalized on this activity level, while Willie Gates's 274-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Yuta Sasaki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Willie Gates is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Willie Gates | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.