February 10, 2017
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Wilson Reis's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Wilson Reis for the expected result. Had Yuta Sasaki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 219 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Wilson Reis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 901 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Yuta Sasaki controlled the striking through superior volume (69 vs 52 total strikes). However, since Yuta Sasaki lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Wilson Reis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:46 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 272 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Wilson Reis controlled Yuta Sasaki on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 8:46 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 141 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -14 |
Wilson Reis demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wilson Reis capitalized on this activity level, while Yuta Sasaki's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Wilson Reis extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yuta Sasaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Wilson Reis | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.